188 lines
4.4 KiB
JSON
188 lines
4.4 KiB
JSON
{
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"model": "TimesFM 2.5 (200M) PyTorch",
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"input": {
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"source": "NOAA GISTEMP Global Temperature Anomaly",
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"n_observations": 36,
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"date_range": "2022-01 to 2024-12",
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"mean_anomaly_c": 1.09
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},
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"forecast": {
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"horizon": 12,
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"dates": [
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"2025-01",
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"2025-02",
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"2025-03",
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"2025-04",
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"2025-05",
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"2025-06",
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"2025-07",
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"2025-08",
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"2025-09",
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"2025-10",
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"2025-11",
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"2025-12"
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],
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"point": [
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1.2223774194717407,
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1.2563583850860596,
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1.286476969718933,
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1.240488052368164,
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1.202637791633606,
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1.2100199460983276,
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1.2253109216690063,
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1.2421810626983643,
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1.2697349786758423,
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1.2496669292449951,
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1.2135266065597534,
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1.2034140825271606
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],
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"quantiles": {
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"mean": [
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1.2215943336486816,
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1.25020170211792,
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1.281691551208496,
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1.240675449371338,
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1.1969143152236938,
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1.1963895559310913,
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1.215125322341919,
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1.229291558265686,
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1.260316252708435,
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1.243621826171875,
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1.2031629085540771,
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1.186724305152893
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],
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"10%": [
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1.1230627298355103,
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1.1482248306274414,
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1.1694773435592651,
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1.119297981262207,
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1.0776878595352173,
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1.0811386108398438,
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1.0917633771896362,
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1.1043028831481934,
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1.123927354812622,
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1.0962445735931396,
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1.054552435874939,
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1.0412306785583496
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],
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"20%": [
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1.161399483680725,
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1.1891648769378662,
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1.2141375541687012,
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1.168922781944275,
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1.1280149221420288,
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1.1352498531341553,
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1.1474796533584595,
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1.1598811149597168,
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1.1872942447662354,
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1.1630417108535767,
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1.1223580837249756,
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1.1113251447677612
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],
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"30%": [
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1.18324875831604,
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1.2134028673171997,
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1.2430503368377686,
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1.195752739906311,
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1.1554758548736572,
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1.1687461137771606,
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1.1764130592346191,
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1.1929150819778442,
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1.2162872552871704,
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1.193880558013916,
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1.1572109460830688,
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1.1433371305465698
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],
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"40%": [
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1.2030285596847534,
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1.2355917692184448,
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1.263671875,
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1.216238260269165,
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1.1801764965057373,
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1.1853771209716797,
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1.2029412984848022,
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1.216418743133545,
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1.2429510354995728,
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1.2217119932174683,
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1.1864622831344604,
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1.1752325296401978
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],
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"50%": [
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1.2223774194717407,
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1.2563583850860596,
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1.286476969718933,
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1.240488052368164,
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1.202637791633606,
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1.2100199460983276,
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1.2253109216690063,
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1.2421810626983643,
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1.2697349786758423,
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1.2496669292449951,
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1.2135266065597534,
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1.2034140825271606
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],
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"60%": [
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1.2409889698028564,
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1.2787916660308838,
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1.3101407289505005,
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1.2653590440750122,
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1.2274072170257568,
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1.2333428859710693,
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1.2509560585021973,
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1.266998052597046,
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1.2976493835449219,
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1.2757387161254883,
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1.2447274923324585,
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1.2308053970336914
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],
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"70%": [
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1.2626991271972656,
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1.3061506748199463,
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1.336512565612793,
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1.2880773544311523,
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1.2546851634979248,
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1.2559939622879028,
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1.276485562324524,
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1.292467474937439,
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1.323679804801941,
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1.30413818359375,
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1.2706527709960938,
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1.2621957063674927
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],
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"80%": [
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1.2927711009979248,
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1.3358021974563599,
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1.372582197189331,
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1.3237736225128174,
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1.2890899181365967,
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1.2938039302825928,
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1.3113454580307007,
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1.3304922580718994,
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1.358002781867981,
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1.3376691341400146,
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1.3091387748718262,
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1.2912495136260986
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],
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"90%": [
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1.3396029472351074,
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1.3880282640457153,
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1.426570177078247,
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1.3806401491165161,
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1.3469674587249756,
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1.3532465696334839,
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1.3728349208831787,
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1.394974946975708,
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1.425218105316162,
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1.409816026687622,
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1.380167841911316,
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1.3700779676437378
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]
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}
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},
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"summary": {
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"forecast_mean_c": 1.235,
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"forecast_max_c": 1.286,
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"forecast_min_c": 1.203,
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"vs_last_year_mean": -0.017
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}
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} |