Clayton Young
6c44413b7f
Add a self-contained AI agent skill for TimesFM that teaches coding agents (Claude Code, OpenCode, Cursor, Codex) how to use the TimesFM API correctly — safe model loading, zero-shot forecasting, covariate workflows, anomaly detection, and the most common pitfalls. Files added: - AGENTS.md — auto-loaded skill document (root of repo) - claude-skill/scripts/check_system.py — mandatory preflight RAM/GPU/disk checker - claude-skill/scripts/forecast_csv.py — CLI wrapper for CSV forecasting - claude-skill/references/ — ForecastConfig API ref, data prep, HW reqs - claude-skill/examples/global-temperature/ — basic forecast + PNG/GIF pipeline - claude-skill/examples/anomaly-detection/ — two-phase detrend+Z-score + quantile PI - claude-skill/examples/covariates-forecasting/ — forecast_with_covariates() XReg demo - .gitattributes — Git LFS rules for PNG/GIF binary outputs Contributed by Clayton Young / Superior Byte Works LLC (@borealBytes) Apache 2.0 — same license as this repository
7.2 KiB
7.2 KiB
| 1 | store_id | week | split | sales | base_sales | price | price_effect | promotion | holiday | day_of_week | store_type | region |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | store_A | 0 | context | 1369.59 | 1012.19 | 11.6299 | 7.4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | premium | urban |
| 3 | store_A | 1 | context | 973.53 | 973.04 | 11.9757 | 0.49 | 0 | 0 | 1 | premium | urban |
| 4 | store_A | 2 | context | 1064.63 | 1059.16 | 11.7269 | 5.46 | 0 | 0 | 2 | premium | urban |
| 5 | store_A | 3 | context | 1077.59 | 1080.99 | 12.1698 | -3.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | premium | urban |
| 6 | store_A | 4 | context | 980.39 | 979.14 | 11.9372 | 1.26 | 0 | 0 | 4 | premium | urban |
| 7 | store_A | 5 | context | 1011.7 | 1018.36 | 12.3327 | -6.65 | 0 | 0 | 5 | premium | urban |
| 8 | store_A | 6 | context | 1084.16 | 1088.16 | 12.2003 | -4.01 | 0 | 0 | 6 | premium | urban |
| 9 | store_A | 7 | context | 1085.98 | 1082.23 | 11.8124 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | premium | urban |
| 10 | store_A | 8 | context | 1098.52 | 1105.17 | 12.3323 | -6.65 | 0 | 0 | 1 | premium | urban |
| 11 | store_A | 9 | context | 1075.62 | 1081.71 | 12.3048 | -6.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | premium | urban |
| 12 | store_A | 10 | context | 1312.23 | 1159.98 | 11.8875 | 2.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | premium | urban |
| 13 | store_A | 11 | context | 1368.02 | 1163.79 | 11.7883 | 4.23 | 0 | 1 | 4 | premium | urban |
| 14 | store_A | 12 | context | 1138.41 | 1142.06 | 12.1825 | -3.65 | 0 | 0 | 5 | premium | urban |
| 15 | store_A | 13 | context | 1197.29 | 1190.09 | 11.6398 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | premium | urban |
| 16 | store_A | 14 | context | 1174.12 | 1168.12 | 11.6999 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | premium | urban |
| 17 | store_A | 15 | context | 1128.16 | 1118.3 | 11.5074 | 9.85 | 0 | 0 | 1 | premium | urban |
| 18 | store_A | 16 | context | 1163.81 | 1169.55 | 12.2869 | -5.74 | 0 | 0 | 2 | premium | urban |
| 19 | store_A | 17 | context | 1114.18 | 1117.48 | 12.1649 | -3.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | premium | urban |
| 20 | store_A | 18 | context | 1186.87 | 1190.98 | 12.2052 | -4.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | premium | urban |
| 21 | store_A | 19 | context | 1147.27 | 1152.88 | 12.2807 | -5.61 | 0 | 0 | 5 | premium | urban |
| 22 | store_A | 20 | context | 1146.48 | 1145.66 | 11.9589 | 0.82 | 0 | 0 | 6 | premium | urban |
| 23 | store_A | 21 | context | 1121.83 | 1123.21 | 12.0687 | -1.37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | premium | urban |
| 24 | store_A | 22 | context | 1203.28 | 1196.08 | 11.6398 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | premium | urban |
| 25 | store_A | 23 | context | 1344.9 | 1137.19 | 11.6145 | 7.71 | 0 | 1 | 2 | premium | urban |
| 26 | store_A | 24 | horizon | 1118.64 | 1122.01 | 12.1684 | -3.37 | 0 | 0 | 3 | premium | urban |
| 27 | store_A | 25 | horizon | 1121.14 | 1120.56 | 11.9711 | 0.58 | 0 | 0 | 4 | premium | urban |
| 28 | store_A | 26 | horizon | 1149.99 | 1151.29 | 12.0652 | -1.3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | premium | urban |
| 29 | store_A | 27 | horizon | 1284.67 | 1139.97 | 12.265 | -5.3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | premium | urban |
| 30 | store_A | 28 | horizon | 1284.67 | 1137.36 | 12.1347 | -2.69 | 1 | 0 | 0 | premium | urban |
| 31 | store_A | 29 | horizon | 1132.79 | 1133.86 | 12.0536 | -1.07 | 0 | 0 | 1 | premium | urban |
| 32 | store_A | 30 | horizon | 1197.3 | 1198.49 | 12.0592 | -1.18 | 0 | 0 | 2 | premium | urban |
| 33 | store_A | 31 | horizon | 1247.22 | 1093.3 | 11.804 | 3.92 | 1 | 0 | 3 | premium | urban |
| 34 | store_A | 32 | horizon | 1095.84 | 1086.46 | 11.5308 | 9.38 | 0 | 0 | 4 | premium | urban |
| 35 | store_A | 33 | horizon | 1073.83 | 1072.57 | 11.9367 | 1.27 | 0 | 0 | 5 | premium | urban |
| 36 | store_A | 34 | horizon | 1134.51 | 1128.8 | 11.7146 | 5.71 | 0 | 0 | 6 | premium | urban |
| 37 | store_A | 35 | horizon | 1351.15 | 1149.32 | 11.9085 | 1.83 | 0 | 1 | 0 | premium | urban |
| 38 | store_B | 0 | context | 1062.53 | 712.0 | 9.9735 | 0.53 | 1 | 1 | 0 | standard | suburban |
| 39 | store_B | 1 | context | 904.49 | 749.83 | 9.767 | 4.66 | 1 | 0 | 1 | standard | suburban |
| 40 | store_B | 2 | context | 813.63 | 810.26 | 9.8316 | 3.37 | 0 | 0 | 2 | standard | suburban |
| 41 | store_B | 3 | context | 720.11 | 720.53 | 10.0207 | -0.41 | 0 | 0 | 3 | standard | suburban |
| 42 | store_B | 4 | context | 820.78 | 819.55 | 9.9389 | 1.22 | 0 | 0 | 4 | standard | suburban |
| 43 | store_B | 5 | context | 833.27 | 823.7 | 9.5216 | 9.57 | 0 | 0 | 5 | standard | suburban |
| 44 | store_B | 6 | context | 795.26 | 801.78 | 10.3263 | -6.53 | 0 | 0 | 6 | standard | suburban |
| 45 | store_B | 7 | context | 770.37 | 778.29 | 10.3962 | -7.92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | standard | suburban |
| 46 | store_B | 8 | context | 855.92 | 848.72 | 9.6402 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | standard | suburban |
| 47 | store_B | 9 | context | 832.33 | 833.41 | 10.054 | -1.08 | 0 | 0 | 2 | standard | suburban |
| 48 | store_B | 10 | context | 1029.44 | 871.61 | 9.6086 | 7.83 | 1 | 0 | 3 | standard | suburban |
| 49 | store_B | 11 | context | 1066.35 | 869.8 | 10.1722 | -3.44 | 0 | 1 | 4 | standard | suburban |
| 50 | store_B | 12 | context | 942.86 | 938.49 | 9.7812 | 4.38 | 0 | 0 | 5 | standard | suburban |
| 51 | store_B | 13 | context | 1015.99 | 869.18 | 10.1594 | -3.19 | 1 | 0 | 6 | standard | suburban |
| 52 | store_B | 14 | context | 836.44 | 840.98 | 10.227 | -4.54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | standard | suburban |
| 53 | store_B | 15 | context | 885.72 | 891.1 | 10.2686 | -5.37 | 0 | 0 | 1 | standard | suburban |
| 54 | store_B | 16 | context | 901.45 | 893.6 | 9.6077 | 7.85 | 0 | 0 | 2 | standard | suburban |
| 55 | store_B | 17 | context | 1080.63 | 938.95 | 10.416 | -8.32 | 1 | 0 | 3 | standard | suburban |
| 56 | store_B | 18 | context | 922.14 | 916.74 | 9.7302 | 5.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | standard | suburban |
| 57 | store_B | 19 | context | 904.66 | 895.41 | 9.5374 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 | 5 | standard | suburban |
| 58 | store_B | 20 | context | 935.48 | 936.58 | 10.0549 | -1.1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | standard | suburban |
| 59 | store_B | 21 | context | 979.23 | 826.64 | 9.8709 | 2.58 | 1 | 0 | 0 | standard | suburban |
| 60 | store_B | 22 | context | 837.49 | 844.09 | 10.3298 | -6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | standard | suburban |
| 61 | store_B | 23 | context | 1021.39 | 827.56 | 10.3083 | -6.17 | 0 | 1 | 2 | standard | suburban |
| 62 | store_B | 24 | horizon | 847.21 | 843.55 | 9.8171 | 3.66 | 0 | 0 | 3 | standard | suburban |
| 63 | store_B | 25 | horizon | 789.27 | 798.33 | 10.4529 | -9.06 | 0 | 0 | 4 | standard | suburban |
| 64 | store_B | 26 | horizon | 877.09 | 872.91 | 9.7909 | 4.18 | 0 | 0 | 5 | standard | suburban |
| 65 | store_B | 27 | horizon | 832.42 | 832.72 | 10.0151 | -0.3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | standard | suburban |
| 66 | store_B | 28 | horizon | 781.9 | 777.02 | 9.756 | 4.88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | standard | suburban |
| 67 | store_B | 29 | horizon | 781.04 | 789.76 | 10.436 | -8.72 | 0 | 0 | 1 | standard | suburban |
| 68 | store_B | 30 | horizon | 844.57 | 837.86 | 9.6646 | 6.71 | 0 | 0 | 2 | standard | suburban |
| 69 | store_B | 31 | horizon | 863.43 | 854.33 | 9.5449 | 9.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | standard | suburban |
| 70 | store_B | 32 | horizon | 898.12 | 896.82 | 9.9351 | 1.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | standard | suburban |
| 71 | store_B | 33 | horizon | 1070.58 | 930.42 | 10.4924 | -9.85 | 1 | 0 | 5 | standard | suburban |
| 72 | store_B | 34 | horizon | 820.4 | 828.24 | 10.3917 | -7.83 | 0 | 0 | 6 | standard | suburban |
| 73 | store_B | 35 | horizon | 965.86 | 770.83 | 10.2486 | -4.97 | 0 | 1 | 0 | standard | suburban |
| 74 | store_C | 0 | context | 709.12 | 501.23 | 7.1053 | 7.89 | 0 | 1 | 0 | discount | rural |
| 75 | store_C | 1 | context | 651.44 | 492.78 | 7.0666 | 8.67 | 1 | 0 | 1 | discount | rural |
| 76 | store_C | 2 | context | 659.15 | 511.04 | 7.5944 | -1.89 | 1 | 0 | 2 | discount | rural |
| 77 | store_C | 3 | context | 733.06 | 575.98 | 7.1462 | 7.08 | 1 | 0 | 3 | discount | rural |
| 78 | store_C | 4 | context | 712.21 | 568.7 | 7.8247 | -6.49 | 1 | 0 | 4 | discount | rural |
| 79 | store_C | 5 | context | 615.23 | 611.44 | 7.3103 | 3.79 | 0 | 0 | 5 | discount | rural |
| 80 | store_C | 6 | context | 568.99 | 561.87 | 7.1439 | 7.12 | 0 | 0 | 6 | discount | rural |
| 81 | store_C | 7 | context | 541.12 | 549.54 | 7.921 | -8.42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | discount | rural |
| 82 | store_C | 8 | context | 583.57 | 576.88 | 7.1655 | 6.69 | 0 | 0 | 1 | discount | rural |
| 83 | store_C | 9 | context | 607.34 | 603.04 | 7.2847 | 4.31 | 0 | 0 | 2 | discount | rural |
| 84 | store_C | 10 | context | 613.79 | 606.86 | 7.1536 | 6.93 | 0 | 0 | 3 | discount | rural |
| 85 | store_C | 11 | context | 919.49 | 561.8 | 7.1155 | 7.69 | 1 | 1 | 4 | discount | rural |
| 86 | store_C | 12 | context | 622.61 | 613.04 | 7.0211 | 9.58 | 0 | 0 | 5 | discount | rural |
| 87 | store_C | 13 | context | 630.52 | 621.63 | 7.0554 | 8.89 | 0 | 0 | 6 | discount | rural |
| 88 | store_C | 14 | context | 721.62 | 715.12 | 7.1746 | 6.51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | discount | rural |
| 89 | store_C | 15 | context | 699.18 | 690.25 | 7.0534 | 8.93 | 0 | 0 | 1 | discount | rural |
| 90 | store_C | 16 | context | 578.85 | 580.67 | 7.5911 | -1.82 | 0 | 0 | 2 | discount | rural |
| 91 | store_C | 17 | context | 598.23 | 601.84 | 7.6807 | -3.61 | 0 | 0 | 3 | discount | rural |
| 92 | store_C | 18 | context | 554.43 | 552.3 | 7.3936 | 2.13 | 0 | 0 | 4 | discount | rural |
| 93 | store_C | 19 | context | 587.39 | 583.75 | 7.318 | 3.64 | 0 | 0 | 5 | discount | rural |
| 94 | store_C | 20 | context | 615.58 | 615.67 | 7.5045 | -0.09 | 0 | 0 | 6 | discount | rural |
| 95 | store_C | 21 | context | 638.68 | 646.18 | 7.875 | -7.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | discount | rural |
| 96 | store_C | 22 | context | 555.99 | 563.01 | 7.8511 | -7.02 | 0 | 0 | 1 | discount | rural |
| 97 | store_C | 23 | context | 768.83 | 559.7 | 7.0435 | 9.13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | discount | rural |
| 98 | store_C | 24 | horizon | 499.62 | 493.25 | 7.1815 | 6.37 | 0 | 0 | 3 | discount | rural |
| 99 | store_C | 25 | horizon | 570.9 | 565.64 | 7.2367 | 5.27 | 0 | 0 | 4 | discount | rural |
| 100 | store_C | 26 | horizon | 677.52 | 522.5 | 7.2494 | 5.01 | 1 | 0 | 5 | discount | rural |
| 101 | store_C | 27 | horizon | 685.25 | 536.68 | 7.5712 | -1.42 | 1 | 0 | 6 | discount | rural |
| 102 | store_C | 28 | horizon | 517.46 | 515.78 | 7.4163 | 1.67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | discount | rural |
| 103 | store_C | 29 | horizon | 549.38 | 540.36 | 7.0493 | 9.01 | 0 | 0 | 1 | discount | rural |
| 104 | store_C | 30 | horizon | 470.04 | 467.51 | 7.3736 | 2.53 | 0 | 0 | 2 | discount | rural |
| 105 | store_C | 31 | horizon | 622.9 | 473.37 | 7.5238 | -0.48 | 1 | 0 | 3 | discount | rural |
| 106 | store_C | 32 | horizon | 620.09 | 612.12 | 7.1017 | 7.97 | 0 | 0 | 4 | discount | rural |
| 107 | store_C | 33 | horizon | 614.45 | 471.12 | 7.8335 | -6.67 | 1 | 0 | 5 | discount | rural |
| 108 | store_C | 34 | horizon | 484.25 | 475.29 | 7.052 | 8.96 | 0 | 0 | 6 | discount | rural |
| 109 | store_C | 35 | horizon | 781.64 | 590.14 | 7.9248 | -8.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | discount | rural |