standardizing styles accross all files.
This commit is contained in:
@@ -34,7 +34,8 @@ def get_seasonality(freq: str) -> int:
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return _get_seasonality(freq, seasonalities={"D": 7})
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return _get_seasonality(freq, seasonalities={"D": 7})
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def maybe_convert_col_to_datetime(df: pd.DataFrame, col_name: str) -> pd.DataFrame:
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def maybe_convert_col_to_datetime(df: pd.DataFrame,
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col_name: str) -> pd.DataFrame:
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if not pd.api.types.is_datetime64_any_dtype(df[col_name]):
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if not pd.api.types.is_datetime64_any_dtype(df[col_name]):
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df = df.copy()
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df = df.copy()
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df[col_name] = pd.to_datetime(df[col_name])
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df[col_name] = pd.to_datetime(df[col_name])
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@@ -62,13 +63,14 @@ def zero_pad_time_series(df, freq, min_length=36):
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end=start_date,
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end=start_date,
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periods=min_length - len(subset) + 1,
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periods=min_length - len(subset) + 1,
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freq=freq, # 'MS' for month start
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freq=freq, # 'MS' for month start
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)[
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)[:-1] # Exclude the start_date itself
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:-1
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] # Exclude the start_date itself
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# 2c. Create padding data
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# 2c. Create padding data
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padding_df = pd.DataFrame(
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padding_df = pd.DataFrame({
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{"ds": padding_dates, "unique_id": unique_id, "y": 0} # Zero padding
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"ds": padding_dates,
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"unique_id": unique_id,
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"y": 0
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} # Zero padding
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)
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)
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# 2d. Combine original and padding data, and append to the list
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# 2d. Combine original and padding data, and append to the list
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@@ -118,8 +120,7 @@ class Forecaster:
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for _, (cutoffs, train, valid) in tqdm(enumerate(splits)):
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for _, (cutoffs, train, valid) in tqdm(enumerate(splits)):
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if len(valid.columns) > 3:
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if len(valid.columns) > 3:
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raise NotImplementedError(
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raise NotImplementedError(
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"Cross validation with exogenous variables is not yet supported."
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"Cross validation with exogenous variables is not yet supported.")
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)
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y_pred = self.forecast(
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y_pred = self.forecast(
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df=train,
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df=train,
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h=h,
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h=h,
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@@ -135,8 +136,7 @@ class Forecaster:
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raise ValueError(
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raise ValueError(
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"Cross validation result produced less results than expected. "
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"Cross validation result produced less results than expected. "
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"Please verify that the frequency parameter (freq) matches your series' "
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"Please verify that the frequency parameter (freq) matches your series' "
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"and that there aren't any missing periods."
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"and that there aren't any missing periods.")
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)
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results.append(result)
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results.append(result)
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out = vertical_concat(results)
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out = vertical_concat(results)
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out = drop_index_if_pandas(out)
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out = drop_index_if_pandas(out)
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@@ -236,9 +236,11 @@ def run_timegpt(
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chunk_size = 5000
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chunk_size = 5000
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else:
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else:
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chunk_size = None
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chunk_size = None
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fcsts_df = model.forecast(
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fcsts_df = model.forecast(df=padded_train_df,
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df=padded_train_df, h=horizon, level=level, freq=freq, chunk_size=chunk_size
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h=horizon,
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)
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level=level,
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freq=freq,
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chunk_size=chunk_size)
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total_time = time() - init_time
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total_time = time() - init_time
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# In case levels are not returned we replace the levels with the mean predictions.
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# In case levels are not returned we replace the levels with the mean predictions.
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# Note that this does not affect the results table as we only compare on point
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# Note that this does not affect the results table as we only compare on point
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@@ -11,7 +11,6 @@
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# WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
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# WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
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# See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
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# See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
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# limitations under the License.
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# limitations under the License.
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"""Evaluation script for timegpt."""
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"""Evaluation script for timegpt."""
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import os
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import os
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@@ -25,7 +24,6 @@ from ..baselines.timegpt_pipeline import run_timegpt
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from .utils import ExperimentHandler
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from .utils import ExperimentHandler
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dataset_names = [
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dataset_names = [
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"m1_monthly",
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"m1_monthly",
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"m1_quarterly",
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"m1_quarterly",
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@@ -63,7 +61,6 @@ _MODEL_NAME = flags.DEFINE_string(
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)
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)
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_SAVE_DIR = flags.DEFINE_string("save_dir", "./results", "Save directory")
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_SAVE_DIR = flags.DEFINE_string("save_dir", "./results", "Save directory")
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QUANTILES = list(np.arange(1, 10) / 10.0)
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QUANTILES = list(np.arange(1, 10) / 10.0)
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@@ -90,9 +87,9 @@ def main():
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)
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)
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time_df = pd.DataFrame({"time": [total_time], "model": model_name})
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time_df = pd.DataFrame({"time": [total_time], "model": model_name})
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fcsts_df = exp.fcst_from_level_to_quantiles(fcsts_df, model_name)
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fcsts_df = exp.fcst_from_level_to_quantiles(fcsts_df, model_name)
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results = exp.evaluate_from_predictions(
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results = exp.evaluate_from_predictions(models=[model_name],
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models=[model_name], fcsts_df=fcsts_df, times_df=time_df
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fcsts_df=fcsts_df,
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)
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times_df=time_df)
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print(results, flush=True)
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print(results, flush=True)
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results_list.append(results)
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results_list.append(results)
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results_full = pd.concat(results_list)
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results_full = pd.concat(results_list)
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@@ -11,7 +11,6 @@
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# WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
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# WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
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# See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
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# See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
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# limitations under the License.
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# limitations under the License.
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"""Evaluation script for timesfm."""
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"""Evaluation script for timesfm."""
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import os
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import os
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@@ -26,7 +25,6 @@ import timesfm
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from .utils import ExperimentHandler
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from .utils import ExperimentHandler
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dataset_names = [
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dataset_names = [
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"m1_monthly",
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"m1_monthly",
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"m1_quarterly",
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"m1_quarterly",
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@@ -74,16 +72,14 @@ context_dict = {
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"m4_yearly": 64,
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"m4_yearly": 64,
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}
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}
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_MODEL_PATH = flags.DEFINE_string(
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_MODEL_PATH = flags.DEFINE_string("model_path", "/home/timesfm_q10_20240501",
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"model_path", "/home/timesfm_q10_20240501", "Path to model"
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"Path to model")
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)
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_BATCH_SIZE = flags.DEFINE_integer("batch_size", 64, "Batch size")
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_BATCH_SIZE = flags.DEFINE_integer("batch_size", 64, "Batch size")
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_HORIZON = flags.DEFINE_integer("horizon", 128, "Horizon")
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_HORIZON = flags.DEFINE_integer("horizon", 128, "Horizon")
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_BACKEND = flags.DEFINE_string("backend", "gpu", "Backend")
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_BACKEND = flags.DEFINE_string("backend", "gpu", "Backend")
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_NUM_JOBS = flags.DEFINE_integer("num_jobs", 1, "Number of jobs")
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_NUM_JOBS = flags.DEFINE_integer("num_jobs", 1, "Number of jobs")
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_SAVE_DIR = flags.DEFINE_string("save_dir", "./results", "Save directory")
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_SAVE_DIR = flags.DEFINE_string("save_dir", "./results", "Save directory")
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QUANTILES = list(np.arange(1, 10) / 10.0)
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QUANTILES = list(np.arange(1, 10) / 10.0)
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@@ -127,9 +123,9 @@ def main():
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)
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)
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total_time = time.time() - init_time
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total_time = time.time() - init_time
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time_df = pd.DataFrame({"time": [total_time], "model": model_name})
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time_df = pd.DataFrame({"time": [total_time], "model": model_name})
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results = exp.evaluate_from_predictions(
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results = exp.evaluate_from_predictions(models=[model_name],
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models=[model_name], fcsts_df=fcsts_df, times_df=time_df
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fcsts_df=fcsts_df,
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)
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times_df=time_df)
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print(results, flush=True)
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print(results, flush=True)
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results_list.append(results)
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results_list.append(results)
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results_full = pd.concat(results_list)
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results_full = pd.concat(results_list)
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@@ -11,7 +11,6 @@
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# WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
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# WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
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# See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
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# See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
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# limitations under the License.
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# limitations under the License.
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"""Forked from https://github.com/Nixtla/nixtla/blob/main/experiments/amazon-chronos/src/utils.py."""
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"""Forked from https://github.com/Nixtla/nixtla/blob/main/experiments/amazon-chronos/src/utils.py."""
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from functools import partial
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from functools import partial
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@@ -46,11 +45,9 @@ def quantile_loss(
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target_col: str = "y",
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target_col: str = "y",
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) -> pd.DataFrame:
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) -> pd.DataFrame:
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delta_y = df[models].sub(df[target_col], axis=0)
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delta_y = df[models].sub(df[target_col], axis=0)
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res = (
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res = (np.maximum(q * delta_y,
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np.maximum(q * delta_y, (q - 1) * delta_y)
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(q - 1) * delta_y).groupby(df[id_col],
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.groupby(df[id_col], observed=True)
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observed=True).mean())
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.mean()
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)
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res.index.name = id_col
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res.index.name = id_col
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res = res.reset_index()
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res = res.reset_index()
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return res
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return res
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@@ -66,10 +63,8 @@ class ExperimentHandler:
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models_dir: str = "./models",
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models_dir: str = "./models",
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):
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):
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if dataset not in gluonts_datasets:
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if dataset not in gluonts_datasets:
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raise Exception(
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raise Exception(f"dataset {dataset} not found in gluonts "
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f"dataset {dataset} not found in gluonts "
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f"available datasets: {', '.join(gluonts_datasets)}")
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f"available datasets: {', '.join(gluonts_datasets)}"
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)
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self.dataset = dataset
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self.dataset = dataset
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self.quantiles = quantiles
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self.quantiles = quantiles
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self.level = self._transform_quantiles_to_levels(quantiles)
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self.level = self._transform_quantiles_to_levels(quantiles)
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@@ -80,10 +75,8 @@ class ExperimentHandler:
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gluonts_dataset = get_dataset(self.dataset)
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gluonts_dataset = get_dataset(self.dataset)
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self.horizon = gluonts_dataset.metadata.prediction_length
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self.horizon = gluonts_dataset.metadata.prediction_length
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if self.horizon is None:
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if self.horizon is None:
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raise Exception(
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raise Exception(f"horizon not found for dataset {self.dataset} "
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f"horizon not found for dataset {self.dataset} "
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"experiment cannot be run")
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"experiment cannot be run"
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)
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self.freq = gluonts_dataset.metadata.freq
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self.freq = gluonts_dataset.metadata.freq
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# get_seasonality() returns 1 for freq='D', override this to 7. This significantly improves the accuracy of
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# get_seasonality() returns 1 for freq='D', override this to 7. This significantly improves the accuracy of
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# statistical models on datasets like m5/nn5_daily. The models like AutoARIMA/AutoETS can still set
|
# statistical models on datasets like m5/nn5_daily. The models like AutoARIMA/AutoETS can still set
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@@ -122,8 +115,7 @@ class ExperimentHandler:
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|
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@staticmethod
|
@staticmethod
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def _transform_quantiles_to_levels(quantiles: List[float]) -> List[int]:
|
def _transform_quantiles_to_levels(quantiles: List[float]) -> List[int]:
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level = [
|
level = [int(100 - 200 * q) for q in quantiles if q < 0.5
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int(100 - 200 * q) for q in quantiles if q < 0.5
|
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] # in this case mean=mediain
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] # in this case mean=mediain
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level = sorted(list(set(level)))
|
level = sorted(list(set(level)))
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return level
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return level
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@@ -153,9 +145,8 @@ class ExperimentHandler:
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last_n: int | None = None,
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last_n: int | None = None,
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) -> pd.DataFrame:
|
) -> pd.DataFrame:
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with multiprocessing.Pool(os.cpu_count()) as pool: # Create a process pool
|
with multiprocessing.Pool(os.cpu_count()) as pool: # Create a process pool
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results = pool.map(
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results = pool.map(parallel_transform, zip(gluonts_dataset,
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parallel_transform, zip(gluonts_dataset, repeat(last_n))
|
repeat(last_n)))
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)
|
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df = pd.concat(results)
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df = pd.concat(results)
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df = df.reset_index(drop=True)
|
df = df.reset_index(drop=True)
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return df
|
return df
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@@ -177,9 +168,8 @@ class ExperimentHandler:
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def save_dataframe(self, df: pd.DataFrame, file_name: str):
|
def save_dataframe(self, df: pd.DataFrame, file_name: str):
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df.to_csv(f"{self.results_dir}/{file_name}", index=False)
|
df.to_csv(f"{self.results_dir}/{file_name}", index=False)
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|
|
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def save_results(
|
def save_results(self, fcst_df: pd.DataFrame, total_time: float,
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self, fcst_df: pd.DataFrame, total_time: float, model_name: str
|
model_name: str):
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):
|
|
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self.save_dataframe(
|
self.save_dataframe(
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fcst_df,
|
fcst_df,
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f"{model_name}-{self.dataset}-fcst.csv",
|
f"{model_name}-{self.dataset}-fcst.csv",
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@@ -215,23 +205,21 @@ class ExperimentHandler:
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times_df = []
|
times_df = []
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for model in models:
|
for model in models:
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fcst_method_df = pd.read_csv(
|
fcst_method_df = pd.read_csv(
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f"{self.results_dir}/{model}-{self.dataset}-fcst.csv"
|
f"{self.results_dir}/{model}-{self.dataset}-fcst.csv").set_index(
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).set_index(["unique_id", "ds"])
|
["unique_id", "ds"])
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fcsts_df.append(fcst_method_df)
|
fcsts_df.append(fcst_method_df)
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time_method_df = pd.read_csv(
|
time_method_df = pd.read_csv(
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f"{self.results_dir}/{model}-{self.dataset}-time.csv"
|
f"{self.results_dir}/{model}-{self.dataset}-time.csv")
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)
|
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times_df.append(time_method_df)
|
times_df.append(time_method_df)
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fcsts_df = pd.concat(fcsts_df, axis=1).reset_index()
|
fcsts_df = pd.concat(fcsts_df, axis=1).reset_index()
|
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fcsts_df["ds"] = pd.to_datetime(fcsts_df["ds"])
|
fcsts_df["ds"] = pd.to_datetime(fcsts_df["ds"])
|
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times_df = pd.concat(times_df)
|
times_df = pd.concat(times_df)
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return self.evaluate_from_predictions(
|
return self.evaluate_from_predictions(models=models,
|
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models=models, fcsts_df=fcsts_df, times_df=times_df
|
fcsts_df=fcsts_df,
|
||||||
)
|
times_df=times_df)
|
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|
|
||||||
def evaluate_from_predictions(
|
def evaluate_from_predictions(self, models: List[str], fcsts_df: pd.DataFrame,
|
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self, models: List[str], fcsts_df: pd.DataFrame, times_df: pd.DataFrame
|
times_df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame:
|
||||||
) -> pd.DataFrame:
|
|
||||||
test_df = self.test_df
|
test_df = self.test_df
|
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train_df = self.train_df
|
train_df = self.train_df
|
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test_df = test_df.merge(fcsts_df, how="left")
|
test_df = test_df.merge(fcsts_df, how="left")
|
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@@ -262,9 +250,9 @@ class ExperimentHandler:
|
|||||||
eval_prob_df["metric"] = "scaled_crps"
|
eval_prob_df["metric"] = "scaled_crps"
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||||||
eval_df = pd.concat([eval_df, eval_prob_df]).reset_index(drop=True)
|
eval_df = pd.concat([eval_df, eval_prob_df]).reset_index(drop=True)
|
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eval_df = eval_df.groupby("metric").mean(numeric_only=True).reset_index()
|
eval_df = eval_df.groupby("metric").mean(numeric_only=True).reset_index()
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eval_df = eval_df.melt(
|
eval_df = eval_df.melt(id_vars="metric",
|
||||||
id_vars="metric", value_name="value", var_name="model"
|
value_name="value",
|
||||||
)
|
var_name="model")
|
||||||
times_df.insert(0, "metric", "time")
|
times_df.insert(0, "metric", "time")
|
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times_df = times_df.rename(columns={"time": "value"})
|
times_df = times_df.rename(columns={"time": "value"})
|
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eval_df = pd.concat([eval_df, times_df])
|
eval_df = pd.concat([eval_df, times_df])
|
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|
|||||||
@@ -11,7 +11,6 @@
|
|||||||
# WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
|
# WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
|
||||||
# See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
|
# See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
|
||||||
# limitations under the License.
|
# limitations under the License.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
"""Eval pipeline."""
|
"""Eval pipeline."""
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
import json
|
import json
|
||||||
@@ -28,38 +27,28 @@ import torch
|
|||||||
import tqdm
|
import tqdm
|
||||||
from timesfm import data_loader
|
from timesfm import data_loader
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
FLAGS = flags.FLAGS
|
FLAGS = flags.FLAGS
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
_BATCH_SIZE = flags.DEFINE_integer(
|
_BATCH_SIZE = flags.DEFINE_integer("batch_size", 64,
|
||||||
"batch_size", 64, "Batch size for the randomly sampled batch"
|
"Batch size for the randomly sampled batch")
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
_DATASET = flags.DEFINE_string("dataset", "etth1", "The name of the dataset.")
|
_DATASET = flags.DEFINE_string("dataset", "etth1", "The name of the dataset.")
|
||||||
_MODEL_PATH = flags.DEFINE_string(
|
_MODEL_PATH = flags.DEFINE_string("model_path", "./timesfm_q10_20240501",
|
||||||
"model_path", "./timesfm_q10_20240501", "The name of the dataset."
|
"The name of the dataset.")
|
||||||
)
|
_DATETIME_COL = flags.DEFINE_string("datetime_col", "date",
|
||||||
_DATETIME_COL = flags.DEFINE_string(
|
"Column having datetime.")
|
||||||
"datetime_col", "date", "Column having datetime."
|
_NUM_COV_COLS = flags.DEFINE_list("num_cov_cols", None,
|
||||||
)
|
"Column having numerical features.")
|
||||||
_NUM_COV_COLS = flags.DEFINE_list(
|
_CAT_COV_COLS = flags.DEFINE_list("cat_cov_cols", None,
|
||||||
"num_cov_cols", None, "Column having numerical features."
|
"Column having categorical features.")
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
_CAT_COV_COLS = flags.DEFINE_list(
|
|
||||||
"cat_cov_cols", None, "Column having categorical features."
|
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
_TS_COLS = flags.DEFINE_list("ts_cols", None, "Columns of time-series features")
|
_TS_COLS = flags.DEFINE_list("ts_cols", None, "Columns of time-series features")
|
||||||
_NORMALIZE = flags.DEFINE_bool(
|
_NORMALIZE = flags.DEFINE_bool("normalize", True,
|
||||||
"normalize", True, "normalize data for eval or not"
|
"normalize data for eval or not")
|
||||||
)
|
_CONTEXT_LEN = flags.DEFINE_integer("context_len", 512,
|
||||||
_CONTEXT_LEN = flags.DEFINE_integer(
|
"Length of the context window")
|
||||||
"context_len", 512, "Length of the context window"
|
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
_PRED_LEN = flags.DEFINE_integer("pred_len", 96, "prediction length.")
|
_PRED_LEN = flags.DEFINE_integer("pred_len", 96, "prediction length.")
|
||||||
_BACKEND = flags.DEFINE_string("backend", "gpu", "backend to use")
|
_BACKEND = flags.DEFINE_string("backend", "gpu", "backend to use")
|
||||||
_RESULTS_DIR = flags.DEFINE_string(
|
_RESULTS_DIR = flags.DEFINE_string("results_dir", "./results/long_horizon",
|
||||||
"results_dir", "./results/long_horizon", "results directory"
|
"results directory")
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
DATA_DICT = {
|
DATA_DICT = {
|
||||||
"ettm2": {
|
"ettm2": {
|
||||||
@@ -176,9 +165,8 @@ def eval():
|
|||||||
holiday=False,
|
holiday=False,
|
||||||
permute=False,
|
permute=False,
|
||||||
)
|
)
|
||||||
eval_itr = dtl.tf_dataset(
|
eval_itr = dtl.tf_dataset(mode="test",
|
||||||
mode="test", shift=_PRED_LEN.value
|
shift=_PRED_LEN.value).as_numpy_iterator()
|
||||||
).as_numpy_iterator()
|
|
||||||
model_path = _MODEL_PATH.value
|
model_path = _MODEL_PATH.value
|
||||||
if model_path.startswith("amazon"):
|
if model_path.startswith("amazon"):
|
||||||
model = chronos.ChronosPipeline.from_pretrained(
|
model = chronos.ChronosPipeline.from_pretrained(
|
||||||
@@ -213,9 +201,8 @@ def eval():
|
|||||||
for batch in tqdm.tqdm(eval_itr):
|
for batch in tqdm.tqdm(eval_itr):
|
||||||
past = batch[0]
|
past = batch[0]
|
||||||
actuals = batch[3]
|
actuals = batch[3]
|
||||||
forecasts = get_forecasts(
|
forecasts = get_forecasts(model_path, model, past, int_freq,
|
||||||
model_path, model, past, int_freq, _PRED_LEN.value
|
_PRED_LEN.value)
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
forecasts = forecasts[:, 0:actuals.shape[1]]
|
forecasts = forecasts[:, 0:actuals.shape[1]]
|
||||||
mae_run_losses.append(_mae(forecasts, actuals).sum())
|
mae_run_losses.append(_mae(forecasts, actuals).sum())
|
||||||
mse_run_losses.append(_mse(forecasts, actuals).sum())
|
mse_run_losses.append(_mse(forecasts, actuals).sum())
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -11,7 +11,6 @@
|
|||||||
# WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
|
# WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
|
||||||
# See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
|
# See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
|
||||||
# limitations under the License.
|
# limitations under the License.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
"""TimesFM init file."""
|
"""TimesFM init file."""
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
from .timesfm import TimesFm, freq_map
|
from .timesfm import TimesFm, freq_map
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -11,13 +11,11 @@
|
|||||||
# WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
|
# WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
|
||||||
# See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
|
# See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
|
||||||
# limitations under the License.
|
# limitations under the License.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
"""TF dataloaders for general timeseries datasets.
|
"""TF dataloaders for general timeseries datasets.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
The expected input format is csv file with a datetime index.
|
The expected input format is csv file with a datetime index.
|
||||||
"""
|
"""
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
from absl import logging
|
from absl import logging
|
||||||
import numpy as np
|
import numpy as np
|
||||||
import pandas as pd
|
import pandas as pd
|
||||||
@@ -79,9 +77,8 @@ class TimeSeriesdata(object):
|
|||||||
self.data_df['ccol'] = np.zeros(self.data_df.shape[0])
|
self.data_df['ccol'] = np.zeros(self.data_df.shape[0])
|
||||||
cat_cov_cols = ['ccol']
|
cat_cov_cols = ['ccol']
|
||||||
self.data_df.fillna(0, inplace=True)
|
self.data_df.fillna(0, inplace=True)
|
||||||
self.data_df.set_index(
|
self.data_df.set_index(pd.DatetimeIndex(self.data_df[datetime_col]),
|
||||||
pd.DatetimeIndex(self.data_df[datetime_col]), inplace=True
|
inplace=True)
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
self.num_cov_cols = num_cov_cols
|
self.num_cov_cols = num_cov_cols
|
||||||
self.cat_cov_cols = cat_cov_cols
|
self.cat_cov_cols = cat_cov_cols
|
||||||
self.ts_cols = ts_cols
|
self.ts_cols = ts_cols
|
||||||
@@ -94,11 +91,9 @@ class TimeSeriesdata(object):
|
|||||||
data_df_idx[-1] + pd.Timedelta(1, freq=freq),
|
data_df_idx[-1] + pd.Timedelta(1, freq=freq),
|
||||||
periods=pred_len + 1,
|
periods=pred_len + 1,
|
||||||
freq=freq,
|
freq=freq,
|
||||||
)
|
))
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
self.time_df = time_features.TimeCovariates(
|
self.time_df = time_features.TimeCovariates(
|
||||||
date_index, holiday=holiday
|
date_index, holiday=holiday).get_covariates()
|
||||||
).get_covariates()
|
|
||||||
self.hist_len = hist_len
|
self.hist_len = hist_len
|
||||||
self.pred_len = pred_len
|
self.pred_len = pred_len
|
||||||
self.batch_size = batch_size
|
self.batch_size = batch_size
|
||||||
@@ -253,9 +248,8 @@ class TimeSeriesdata(object):
|
|||||||
gen_fn = self.train_gen
|
gen_fn = self.train_gen
|
||||||
else:
|
else:
|
||||||
gen_fn = lambda: self.test_val_gen(mode, shift)
|
gen_fn = lambda: self.test_val_gen(mode, shift)
|
||||||
output_types = tuple(
|
output_types = tuple([tf.float32] * 2 + [tf.int32] + [tf.float32] * 2 +
|
||||||
[tf.float32] * 2 + [tf.int32] + [tf.float32] * 2 + [tf.int32] * 2
|
[tf.int32] * 2)
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
dataset = tf.data.Dataset.from_generator(gen_fn, output_types)
|
dataset = tf.data.Dataset.from_generator(gen_fn, output_types)
|
||||||
dataset = dataset.prefetch(tf.data.experimental.AUTOTUNE)
|
dataset = dataset.prefetch(tf.data.experimental.AUTOTUNE)
|
||||||
return dataset
|
return dataset
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -11,7 +11,6 @@
|
|||||||
# WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
|
# WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
|
||||||
# See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
|
# See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
|
||||||
# limitations under the License.
|
# limitations under the License.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
"""Pax ML model for patched time-series decoder.
|
"""Pax ML model for patched time-series decoder.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
The file implements Residual MLPs, Patched Decoder layers and PAX ML models.
|
The file implements Residual MLPs, Patched Decoder layers and PAX ML models.
|
||||||
@@ -36,7 +35,6 @@ from praxis.layers import normalizations
|
|||||||
from praxis.layers import stochastics
|
from praxis.layers import stochastics
|
||||||
from praxis.layers import transformers
|
from praxis.layers import transformers
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
# PAX shortcuts
|
# PAX shortcuts
|
||||||
NestedMap = py_utils.NestedMap
|
NestedMap = py_utils.NestedMap
|
||||||
JTensor = pytypes.JTensor
|
JTensor = pytypes.JTensor
|
||||||
@@ -44,7 +42,6 @@ JTensor = pytypes.JTensor
|
|||||||
LayerTpl = pax_fiddle.Config[base_layer.BaseLayer]
|
LayerTpl = pax_fiddle.Config[base_layer.BaseLayer]
|
||||||
template_field = base_layer.template_field
|
template_field = base_layer.template_field
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
PAD_VAL = 1123581321.0
|
PAD_VAL = 1123581321.0
|
||||||
DEFAULT_QUANTILES = [0.1, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5, 0.6, 0.7, 0.8, 0.9]
|
DEFAULT_QUANTILES = [0.1, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5, 0.6, 0.7, 0.8, 0.9]
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@@ -57,7 +54,6 @@ _FREQ = "freq"
|
|||||||
_OUTPUT_TOKENS = "output_tokens"
|
_OUTPUT_TOKENS = "output_tokens"
|
||||||
_STATS = "stats"
|
_STATS = "stats"
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
# Small numerical value.
|
# Small numerical value.
|
||||||
_TOLERANCE = 1e-7
|
_TOLERANCE = 1e-7
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@@ -158,7 +154,8 @@ class ResidualBlock(base_layer.BaseLayer):
|
|||||||
return output + residual
|
return output + residual
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def _masked_mean_std(inputs: JTensor, padding: JTensor) -> Tuple[JTensor, JTensor]:
|
def _masked_mean_std(inputs: JTensor,
|
||||||
|
padding: JTensor) -> Tuple[JTensor, JTensor]:
|
||||||
"""Calculates mean and standard deviation of arr across axis 1.
|
"""Calculates mean and standard deviation of arr across axis 1.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
It should exclude values where pad is 1.
|
It should exclude values where pad is 1.
|
||||||
@@ -238,8 +235,7 @@ class PatchedTimeSeriesDecoder(base_layer.BaseLayer):
|
|||||||
quantiles: list[float] = dataclasses.field(default_factory=_create_quantiles)
|
quantiles: list[float] = dataclasses.field(default_factory=_create_quantiles)
|
||||||
residual_block_tpl: LayerTpl = template_field(ResidualBlock)
|
residual_block_tpl: LayerTpl = template_field(ResidualBlock)
|
||||||
stacked_transformer_params_tpl: LayerTpl = template_field(
|
stacked_transformer_params_tpl: LayerTpl = template_field(
|
||||||
transformers.StackedTransformer
|
transformers.StackedTransformer)
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
use_freq: bool = True
|
use_freq: bool = True
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def setup(self) -> None:
|
def setup(self) -> None:
|
||||||
@@ -274,9 +270,8 @@ class PatchedTimeSeriesDecoder(base_layer.BaseLayer):
|
|||||||
|
|
||||||
self.create_child(
|
self.create_child(
|
||||||
"position_emb",
|
"position_emb",
|
||||||
pax_fiddle.Config(
|
pax_fiddle.Config(layers.PositionalEmbedding,
|
||||||
layers.PositionalEmbedding, embedding_dims=self.model_dims
|
embedding_dims=self.model_dims),
|
||||||
),
|
|
||||||
)
|
)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
if self.use_freq:
|
if self.use_freq:
|
||||||
@@ -290,25 +285,24 @@ class PatchedTimeSeriesDecoder(base_layer.BaseLayer):
|
|||||||
)
|
)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def transform_decode_state(
|
def transform_decode_state(
|
||||||
self, transform_fn: base_layer.DecodeStateTransformFn
|
self, transform_fn: base_layer.DecodeStateTransformFn) -> None:
|
||||||
) -> None:
|
|
||||||
"""Transforms all decode state variables based on transform_fn."""
|
"""Transforms all decode state variables based on transform_fn."""
|
||||||
self.stacked_transformer_layer.transform_decode_state(transform_fn)
|
self.stacked_transformer_layer.transform_decode_state(transform_fn)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def _forward_transform(
|
def _forward_transform(
|
||||||
self, inputs: JTensor, patched_pads: JTensor
|
self, inputs: JTensor,
|
||||||
) -> Tuple[JTensor, Tuple[JTensor, JTensor]]:
|
patched_pads: JTensor) -> Tuple[JTensor, Tuple[JTensor, JTensor]]:
|
||||||
"""Input is of shape [B, N, P]."""
|
"""Input is of shape [B, N, P]."""
|
||||||
mu, sigma = _masked_mean_std(inputs, patched_pads)
|
mu, sigma = _masked_mean_std(inputs, patched_pads)
|
||||||
sigma = jnp.where(sigma < _TOLERANCE, 1.0, sigma)
|
sigma = jnp.where(sigma < _TOLERANCE, 1.0, sigma)
|
||||||
# Normalize each patch.
|
# Normalize each patch.
|
||||||
outputs = (inputs - mu[:, None, None]) / sigma[:, None, None]
|
outputs = (inputs - mu[:, None, None]) / sigma[:, None, None]
|
||||||
outputs = jnp.where(jnp.abs(inputs - PAD_VAL) < _TOLERANCE, PAD_VAL, outputs)
|
outputs = jnp.where(
|
||||||
|
jnp.abs(inputs - PAD_VAL) < _TOLERANCE, PAD_VAL, outputs)
|
||||||
return outputs, (mu, sigma)
|
return outputs, (mu, sigma)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def _reverse_transform(
|
def _reverse_transform(self, outputs: JTensor,
|
||||||
self, outputs: JTensor, stats: Tuple[JTensor, JTensor]
|
stats: Tuple[JTensor, JTensor]) -> JTensor:
|
||||||
) -> JTensor:
|
|
||||||
"""Output is of shape [B, N, P, Q]."""
|
"""Output is of shape [B, N, P, Q]."""
|
||||||
mu, sigma = stats
|
mu, sigma = stats
|
||||||
return outputs * sigma[:, None, None, None] + mu[:, None, None, None]
|
return outputs * sigma[:, None, None, None] + mu[:, None, None, None]
|
||||||
@@ -323,10 +317,12 @@ class PatchedTimeSeriesDecoder(base_layer.BaseLayer):
|
|||||||
# Reshape into patches.
|
# Reshape into patches.
|
||||||
patched_inputs = es.jax_einshape("b(np)->bnp", input_ts, p=self.patch_len)
|
patched_inputs = es.jax_einshape("b(np)->bnp", input_ts, p=self.patch_len)
|
||||||
input_padding = jnp.where(
|
input_padding = jnp.where(
|
||||||
jnp.abs(input_ts - PAD_VAL) < _TOLERANCE, 1, input_padding
|
jnp.abs(input_ts - PAD_VAL) < _TOLERANCE, 1, input_padding)
|
||||||
)
|
patched_pads = es.jax_einshape("b(np)->bnp",
|
||||||
patched_pads = es.jax_einshape("b(np)->bnp", input_padding, p=self.patch_len)
|
input_padding,
|
||||||
patched_inputs, stats = self._forward_transform(patched_inputs, patched_pads)
|
p=self.patch_len)
|
||||||
|
patched_inputs, stats = self._forward_transform(patched_inputs,
|
||||||
|
patched_pads)
|
||||||
# B x N x D
|
# B x N x D
|
||||||
patched_inputs = patched_inputs * (1.0 - patched_pads)
|
patched_inputs = patched_inputs * (1.0 - patched_pads)
|
||||||
concat_inputs = jnp.concatenate([patched_inputs, patched_pads], axis=-1)
|
concat_inputs = jnp.concatenate([patched_inputs, patched_pads], axis=-1)
|
||||||
@@ -355,9 +351,10 @@ class PatchedTimeSeriesDecoder(base_layer.BaseLayer):
|
|||||||
"""Postprocess output of stacked transformer."""
|
"""Postprocess output of stacked transformer."""
|
||||||
# B x N x (H.Q)
|
# B x N x (H.Q)
|
||||||
output_ts = self.horizon_ff_layer(model_output)
|
output_ts = self.horizon_ff_layer(model_output)
|
||||||
output_ts = es.jax_einshape(
|
output_ts = es.jax_einshape("bn(hq)->bnhq",
|
||||||
"bn(hq)->bnhq", output_ts, q=num_outputs, h=self.horizon_len
|
output_ts,
|
||||||
)
|
q=num_outputs,
|
||||||
|
h=self.horizon_len)
|
||||||
return self._reverse_transform(output_ts, stats)
|
return self._reverse_transform(output_ts, stats)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def __call__(self, inputs: NestedMap) -> NestedMap:
|
def __call__(self, inputs: NestedMap) -> NestedMap:
|
||||||
@@ -388,9 +385,11 @@ class PatchedTimeSeriesDecoder(base_layer.BaseLayer):
|
|||||||
model_output = self.stacked_transformer_layer(model_input, patched_padding)
|
model_output = self.stacked_transformer_layer(model_input, patched_padding)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
output_ts = self._postprocess_output(model_output, num_outputs, stats)
|
output_ts = self._postprocess_output(model_output, num_outputs, stats)
|
||||||
return NestedMap(
|
return NestedMap({
|
||||||
{_OUTPUT_TOKENS: model_output, _OUTPUT_TS: output_ts, _STATS: stats}
|
_OUTPUT_TOKENS: model_output,
|
||||||
)
|
_OUTPUT_TS: output_ts,
|
||||||
|
_STATS: stats
|
||||||
|
})
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def decode(
|
def decode(
|
||||||
self,
|
self,
|
||||||
@@ -426,11 +425,11 @@ class PatchedTimeSeriesDecoder(base_layer.BaseLayer):
|
|||||||
if paddings.shape[1] != final_out.shape[1] + horizon_len:
|
if paddings.shape[1] != final_out.shape[1] + horizon_len:
|
||||||
raise ValueError(
|
raise ValueError(
|
||||||
"Length of paddings must match length of input + horizon_len:"
|
"Length of paddings must match length of input + horizon_len:"
|
||||||
f" {paddings.shape[1]} != {final_out.shape[1]} + {horizon_len}"
|
f" {paddings.shape[1]} != {final_out.shape[1]} + {horizon_len}")
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
if output_patch_len is None:
|
if output_patch_len is None:
|
||||||
output_patch_len = self.horizon_len
|
output_patch_len = self.horizon_len
|
||||||
num_decode_patches = (horizon_len + output_patch_len - 1) // output_patch_len
|
num_decode_patches = (horizon_len + output_patch_len -
|
||||||
|
1) // output_patch_len
|
||||||
for _ in range(num_decode_patches):
|
for _ in range(num_decode_patches):
|
||||||
current_padding = paddings[:, 0:final_out.shape[1]]
|
current_padding = paddings[:, 0:final_out.shape[1]]
|
||||||
input_ts = final_out[:, -max_len:]
|
input_ts = final_out[:, -max_len:]
|
||||||
@@ -472,14 +471,12 @@ class PatchedDecoderFinetuneModel(base_model.BaseModel):
|
|||||||
input_padding = jnp.zeros_like(input_ts)
|
input_padding = jnp.zeros_like(input_ts)
|
||||||
context_len = input_ts.shape[1]
|
context_len = input_ts.shape[1]
|
||||||
input_patch_len = self.core_layer_tpl.patch_len
|
input_patch_len = self.core_layer_tpl.patch_len
|
||||||
context_pad = (
|
context_pad = ((context_len + input_patch_len - 1) //
|
||||||
(context_len + input_patch_len - 1) // input_patch_len
|
input_patch_len) * input_patch_len - context_len
|
||||||
) * input_patch_len - context_len
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
input_ts = jnp.pad(input_ts, [(0, 0), (context_pad, 0)])
|
input_ts = jnp.pad(input_ts, [(0, 0), (context_pad, 0)])
|
||||||
input_padding = jnp.pad(
|
input_padding = jnp.pad(input_padding, [(0, 0), (context_pad, 0)],
|
||||||
input_padding, [(0, 0), (context_pad, 0)], constant_values=1
|
constant_values=1)
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
freq = jnp.ones([input_ts.shape[0], 1], dtype=jnp.int32) * self.freq
|
freq = jnp.ones([input_ts.shape[0], 1], dtype=jnp.int32) * self.freq
|
||||||
new_input_batch = NestedMap(
|
new_input_batch = NestedMap(
|
||||||
input_ts=input_ts,
|
input_ts=input_ts,
|
||||||
@@ -488,9 +485,8 @@ class PatchedDecoderFinetuneModel(base_model.BaseModel):
|
|||||||
)
|
)
|
||||||
return self.core_layer(new_input_batch)
|
return self.core_layer(new_input_batch)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def _quantile_loss(
|
def _quantile_loss(self, pred: JTensor, actual: JTensor,
|
||||||
self, pred: JTensor, actual: JTensor, quantile: float
|
quantile: float) -> JTensor:
|
||||||
) -> JTensor:
|
|
||||||
"""Calculates quantile loss.
|
"""Calculates quantile loss.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
Args:
|
Args:
|
||||||
@@ -506,9 +502,8 @@ class PatchedDecoderFinetuneModel(base_model.BaseModel):
|
|||||||
loss_second = -dev * (1.0 - quantile)
|
loss_second = -dev * (1.0 - quantile)
|
||||||
return 2 * jnp.where(loss_first >= 0, loss_first, loss_second)
|
return 2 * jnp.where(loss_first >= 0, loss_first, loss_second)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def compute_loss(
|
def compute_loss(self, prediction_output: NestedMap,
|
||||||
self, prediction_output: NestedMap, input_batch: NestedMap
|
input_batch: NestedMap) -> Tuple[NestedMap, NestedMap]:
|
||||||
) -> Tuple[NestedMap, NestedMap]:
|
|
||||||
output_ts = prediction_output[_OUTPUT_TS]
|
output_ts = prediction_output[_OUTPUT_TS]
|
||||||
actual_ts = input_batch[_TARGET_FUTURE]
|
actual_ts = input_batch[_TARGET_FUTURE]
|
||||||
pred_ts = output_ts[:, -1, 0:actual_ts.shape[1], :]
|
pred_ts = output_ts[:, -1, 0:actual_ts.shape[1], :]
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -11,7 +11,6 @@
|
|||||||
# WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
|
# WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
|
||||||
# See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
|
# See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
|
||||||
# limitations under the License.
|
# limitations under the License.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
"""Directory to extract time covariates.
|
"""Directory to extract time covariates.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
Extract time covariates from datetime.
|
Extract time covariates from datetime.
|
||||||
@@ -36,7 +35,6 @@ from pandas.tseries.offsets import Easter
|
|||||||
from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler
|
from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler
|
||||||
from tqdm import tqdm
|
from tqdm import tqdm
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
# This is 183 to cover half a year (in both directions), also for leap years
|
# This is 183 to cover half a year (in both directions), also for leap years
|
||||||
# + 17 as Eastern can be between March, 22 - April, 25
|
# + 17 as Eastern can be between March, 22 - April, 25
|
||||||
MAX_WINDOW = 183 + 17
|
MAX_WINDOW = 183 + 17
|
||||||
@@ -50,8 +48,7 @@ def _distance_to_holiday(holiday):
|
|||||||
index - pd.Timedelta(days=MAX_WINDOW),
|
index - pd.Timedelta(days=MAX_WINDOW),
|
||||||
index + pd.Timedelta(days=MAX_WINDOW),
|
index + pd.Timedelta(days=MAX_WINDOW),
|
||||||
)
|
)
|
||||||
assert (
|
assert (len(holiday_date) != 0 # pylint: disable=g-explicit-length-test
|
||||||
len(holiday_date) != 0 # pylint: disable=g-explicit-length-test
|
|
||||||
), f"No closest holiday for the date index {index} found."
|
), f"No closest holiday for the date index {index} found."
|
||||||
# It sometimes returns two dates if it is exactly half a year after the
|
# It sometimes returns two dates if it is exactly half a year after the
|
||||||
# holiday. In this case, the smaller distance (182 days) is returned.
|
# holiday. In this case, the smaller distance (182 days) is returned.
|
||||||
@@ -60,16 +57,19 @@ def _distance_to_holiday(holiday):
|
|||||||
return _distance_to_day
|
return _distance_to_day
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
EasterSunday = Holiday(
|
EasterSunday = Holiday("Easter Sunday",
|
||||||
"Easter Sunday", month=1, day=1, offset=[Easter(), Day(0)]
|
month=1,
|
||||||
)
|
day=1,
|
||||||
|
offset=[Easter(), Day(0)])
|
||||||
NewYearsDay = Holiday("New Years Day", month=1, day=1)
|
NewYearsDay = Holiday("New Years Day", month=1, day=1)
|
||||||
SuperBowl = Holiday(
|
SuperBowl = Holiday("Superbowl",
|
||||||
"Superbowl", month=2, day=1, offset=DateOffset(weekday=SU(1))
|
month=2,
|
||||||
)
|
day=1,
|
||||||
MothersDay = Holiday(
|
offset=DateOffset(weekday=SU(1)))
|
||||||
"Mothers Day", month=5, day=1, offset=DateOffset(weekday=SU(2))
|
MothersDay = Holiday("Mothers Day",
|
||||||
)
|
month=5,
|
||||||
|
day=1,
|
||||||
|
offset=DateOffset(weekday=SU(2)))
|
||||||
IndependenceDay = Holiday("Independence Day", month=7, day=4)
|
IndependenceDay = Holiday("Independence Day", month=7, day=4)
|
||||||
ChristmasEve = Holiday("Christmas", month=12, day=24)
|
ChristmasEve = Holiday("Christmas", month=12, day=24)
|
||||||
ChristmasDay = Holiday("Christmas", month=12, day=25)
|
ChristmasDay = Holiday("Christmas", month=12, day=25)
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+65
-86
@@ -11,7 +11,6 @@
|
|||||||
# WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
|
# WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
|
||||||
# See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
|
# See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
|
||||||
# limitations under the License.
|
# limitations under the License.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
"""TimesFM forecast API for inference."""
|
"""TimesFM forecast API for inference."""
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
import logging
|
import logging
|
||||||
@@ -52,23 +51,16 @@ def moving_average(arr, window_size):
|
|||||||
"""Calculates the moving average using NumPy's convolution function."""
|
"""Calculates the moving average using NumPy's convolution function."""
|
||||||
# Pad with zeros to handle initial window positions
|
# Pad with zeros to handle initial window positions
|
||||||
arr_padded = np.pad(arr, (window_size - 1, 0), "constant")
|
arr_padded = np.pad(arr, (window_size - 1, 0), "constant")
|
||||||
smoothed_arr = (
|
smoothed_arr = (np.convolve(arr_padded, np.ones(window_size), "valid") /
|
||||||
np.convolve(arr_padded, np.ones(window_size), "valid") / window_size
|
window_size)
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
return [smoothed_arr, arr - smoothed_arr]
|
return [smoothed_arr, arr - smoothed_arr]
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def freq_map(freq: str):
|
def freq_map(freq: str):
|
||||||
"""Returns the frequency map for the given frequency string."""
|
"""Returns the frequency map for the given frequency string."""
|
||||||
freq = str.upper(freq)
|
freq = str.upper(freq)
|
||||||
if (
|
if (freq.endswith("H") or freq.endswith("T") or freq.endswith("MIN") or
|
||||||
freq.endswith("H")
|
freq.endswith("D") or freq.endswith("B") or freq.endswith("U")):
|
||||||
or freq.endswith("T")
|
|
||||||
or freq.endswith("MIN")
|
|
||||||
or freq.endswith("D")
|
|
||||||
or freq.endswith("B")
|
|
||||||
or freq.endswith("U")
|
|
||||||
):
|
|
||||||
return 0
|
return 0
|
||||||
elif freq.endswith(("W", "M", "MS")):
|
elif freq.endswith(("W", "M", "MS")):
|
||||||
return 1
|
return 1
|
||||||
@@ -179,9 +171,7 @@ class TimesFm:
|
|||||||
num_layers=num_layers,
|
num_layers=num_layers,
|
||||||
transformer_layer_params_tpl=pax_fiddle.Config(
|
transformer_layer_params_tpl=pax_fiddle.Config(
|
||||||
transformers.Transformer,
|
transformers.Transformer,
|
||||||
ln_tpl=pax_fiddle.Config(
|
ln_tpl=pax_fiddle.Config(normalizations.RmsNorm,),
|
||||||
normalizations.RmsNorm,
|
|
||||||
),
|
|
||||||
),
|
),
|
||||||
),
|
),
|
||||||
)
|
)
|
||||||
@@ -199,21 +189,24 @@ class TimesFm:
|
|||||||
|
|
||||||
def _get_sample_inputs(self):
|
def _get_sample_inputs(self):
|
||||||
return {
|
return {
|
||||||
"input_ts": jnp.zeros(
|
"input_ts":
|
||||||
|
jnp.zeros(
|
||||||
(
|
(
|
||||||
self.per_core_batch_size,
|
self.per_core_batch_size,
|
||||||
self.context_len + self.output_patch_len,
|
self.context_len + self.output_patch_len,
|
||||||
),
|
),
|
||||||
dtype=jnp.float32,
|
dtype=jnp.float32,
|
||||||
),
|
),
|
||||||
"input_padding": jnp.zeros(
|
"input_padding":
|
||||||
|
jnp.zeros(
|
||||||
(
|
(
|
||||||
self.per_core_batch_size,
|
self.per_core_batch_size,
|
||||||
self.context_len + self.output_patch_len,
|
self.context_len + self.output_patch_len,
|
||||||
),
|
),
|
||||||
dtype=jnp.float32,
|
dtype=jnp.float32,
|
||||||
),
|
),
|
||||||
"freq": jnp.zeros(
|
"freq":
|
||||||
|
jnp.zeros(
|
||||||
(
|
(
|
||||||
self.per_core_batch_size,
|
self.per_core_batch_size,
|
||||||
1,
|
1,
|
||||||
@@ -226,7 +219,8 @@ class TimesFm:
|
|||||||
self,
|
self,
|
||||||
checkpoint_path: Optional[str] = None,
|
checkpoint_path: Optional[str] = None,
|
||||||
repo_id: str = "google/timesfm-1.0-200m",
|
repo_id: str = "google/timesfm-1.0-200m",
|
||||||
checkpoint_type: checkpoints.CheckpointType = checkpoints.CheckpointType.FLAX,
|
checkpoint_type: checkpoints.CheckpointType = checkpoints.CheckpointType.
|
||||||
|
FLAX,
|
||||||
step: int | None = None,
|
step: int | None = None,
|
||||||
) -> None:
|
) -> None:
|
||||||
"""Loads a checkpoint and compiles the decoder.
|
"""Loads a checkpoint and compiles the decoder.
|
||||||
@@ -246,8 +240,7 @@ class TimesFm:
|
|||||||
start_time = time.time()
|
start_time = time.time()
|
||||||
self._model = instantiate(self.model_p)
|
self._model = instantiate(self.model_p)
|
||||||
var_weight_hparams = self._model.abstract_init_with_metadata(
|
var_weight_hparams = self._model.abstract_init_with_metadata(
|
||||||
self._get_sample_inputs(), do_eval=True
|
self._get_sample_inputs(), do_eval=True)
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
train_state_partition_specs = tasks_lib.create_state_partition_specs(
|
train_state_partition_specs = tasks_lib.create_state_partition_specs(
|
||||||
var_weight_hparams,
|
var_weight_hparams,
|
||||||
mesh_shape=self.mesh_shape,
|
mesh_shape=self.mesh_shape,
|
||||||
@@ -261,8 +254,7 @@ class TimesFm:
|
|||||||
learners=None,
|
learners=None,
|
||||||
)
|
)
|
||||||
self._logging(
|
self._logging(
|
||||||
f"Constructed model weights in {time.time() - start_time:.2f} seconds."
|
f"Constructed model weights in {time.time() - start_time:.2f} seconds.")
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
# Load the model weights.
|
# Load the model weights.
|
||||||
self._logging(f"Restoring checkpoint from {checkpoint_path}.")
|
self._logging(f"Restoring checkpoint from {checkpoint_path}.")
|
||||||
@@ -275,12 +267,12 @@ class TimesFm:
|
|||||||
step=step,
|
step=step,
|
||||||
)
|
)
|
||||||
self._logging(
|
self._logging(
|
||||||
f"Restored checkpoint in {time.time() - start_time:.2f} seconds."
|
f"Restored checkpoint in {time.time() - start_time:.2f} seconds.")
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
self.jit_decode()
|
self.jit_decode()
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def jit_decode(self):
|
def jit_decode(self):
|
||||||
"""Jitting decoding function."""
|
"""Jitting decoding function."""
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
# Initialize and jit the decode fn.
|
# Initialize and jit the decode fn.
|
||||||
def _decode(inputs):
|
def _decode(inputs):
|
||||||
assert self._model is not None
|
assert self._model is not None
|
||||||
@@ -310,7 +302,8 @@ class TimesFm:
|
|||||||
with base_layer.JaxContext.new_context(hparams=self._eval_context):
|
with base_layer.JaxContext.new_context(hparams=self._eval_context):
|
||||||
_ = self._pmapped_decode(
|
_ = self._pmapped_decode(
|
||||||
NestedMap({
|
NestedMap({
|
||||||
"input_ts": jnp.zeros(
|
"input_ts":
|
||||||
|
jnp.zeros(
|
||||||
(
|
(
|
||||||
self.num_devices,
|
self.num_devices,
|
||||||
self.per_core_batch_size,
|
self.per_core_batch_size,
|
||||||
@@ -318,7 +311,8 @@ class TimesFm:
|
|||||||
),
|
),
|
||||||
dtype=jnp.float32,
|
dtype=jnp.float32,
|
||||||
),
|
),
|
||||||
"input_padding": jnp.zeros(
|
"input_padding":
|
||||||
|
jnp.zeros(
|
||||||
(
|
(
|
||||||
self.num_devices,
|
self.num_devices,
|
||||||
self.per_core_batch_size,
|
self.per_core_batch_size,
|
||||||
@@ -326,18 +320,18 @@ class TimesFm:
|
|||||||
),
|
),
|
||||||
dtype=jnp.float32,
|
dtype=jnp.float32,
|
||||||
),
|
),
|
||||||
"date_features": None,
|
"date_features":
|
||||||
"freq": jnp.zeros(
|
None,
|
||||||
|
"freq":
|
||||||
|
jnp.zeros(
|
||||||
(self.num_devices, self.per_core_batch_size, 1),
|
(self.num_devices, self.per_core_batch_size, 1),
|
||||||
dtype=jnp.int32,
|
dtype=jnp.int32,
|
||||||
),
|
),
|
||||||
})
|
}))
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
self._logging(f"Jitted decoding in {time.time() - start_time:.2f} seconds.")
|
self._logging(f"Jitted decoding in {time.time() - start_time:.2f} seconds.")
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def _preprocess(
|
def _preprocess(self, inputs: Sequence[np.array],
|
||||||
self, inputs: Sequence[np.array], freq: Sequence[int]
|
freq: Sequence[int]) -> tuple[np.array, np.array, int]:
|
||||||
) -> tuple[np.array, np.array, int]:
|
|
||||||
"""Formats and pads raw inputs to feed into the model.
|
"""Formats and pads raw inputs to feed into the model.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
This function both pads each time series to match the context length, and
|
This function both pads each time series to match the context length, and
|
||||||
@@ -358,21 +352,18 @@ class TimesFm:
|
|||||||
|
|
||||||
input_ts, input_padding, inp_freq = [], [], []
|
input_ts, input_padding, inp_freq = [], [], []
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
pmap_pad = (
|
pmap_pad = ((len(inputs) - 1) // self.global_batch_size +
|
||||||
(len(inputs) - 1) // self.global_batch_size + 1
|
1) * self.global_batch_size - len(inputs)
|
||||||
) * self.global_batch_size - len(inputs)
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
for i, ts in enumerate(inputs):
|
for i, ts in enumerate(inputs):
|
||||||
input_len = ts.shape[0]
|
input_len = ts.shape[0]
|
||||||
padding = np.zeros(shape=(input_len + self.horizon_len,), dtype=float)
|
padding = np.zeros(shape=(input_len + self.horizon_len,), dtype=float)
|
||||||
if input_len < self.context_len:
|
if input_len < self.context_len:
|
||||||
num_front_pad = self.context_len - input_len
|
num_front_pad = self.context_len - input_len
|
||||||
ts = np.concatenate(
|
ts = np.concatenate([np.zeros(shape=(num_front_pad,), dtype=float), ts],
|
||||||
[np.zeros(shape=(num_front_pad,), dtype=float), ts], axis=0
|
axis=0)
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
padding = np.concatenate(
|
padding = np.concatenate(
|
||||||
[np.ones(shape=(num_front_pad,), dtype=float), padding], axis=0
|
[np.ones(shape=(num_front_pad,), dtype=float), padding], axis=0)
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
elif input_len > self.context_len:
|
elif input_len > self.context_len:
|
||||||
ts = ts[-self.context_len:]
|
ts = ts[-self.context_len:]
|
||||||
padding = padding[-(self.context_len + self.horizon_len):]
|
padding = padding[-(self.context_len + self.horizon_len):]
|
||||||
@@ -425,8 +416,7 @@ class TimesFm:
|
|||||||
if not self._train_state or not self._model:
|
if not self._train_state or not self._model:
|
||||||
raise ValueError(
|
raise ValueError(
|
||||||
"Checkpoint not loaded. Call `load_from_checkpoint` before"
|
"Checkpoint not loaded. Call `load_from_checkpoint` before"
|
||||||
" `forecast`."
|
" `forecast`.")
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
if forecast_context_len is None:
|
if forecast_context_len is None:
|
||||||
forecast_context_len = self.context_len
|
forecast_context_len = self.context_len
|
||||||
inputs = [np.array(ts)[-forecast_context_len:] for ts in inputs]
|
inputs = [np.array(ts)[-forecast_context_len:] for ts in inputs]
|
||||||
@@ -448,47 +438,45 @@ class TimesFm:
|
|||||||
full_outputs = []
|
full_outputs = []
|
||||||
assert input_ts.shape[0] % self.global_batch_size == 0
|
assert input_ts.shape[0] % self.global_batch_size == 0
|
||||||
for i in range(input_ts.shape[0] // self.global_batch_size):
|
for i in range(input_ts.shape[0] // self.global_batch_size):
|
||||||
input_ts_in = jnp.array(
|
input_ts_in = jnp.array(input_ts[i * self.global_batch_size:(i + 1) *
|
||||||
input_ts[
|
self.global_batch_size])
|
||||||
i * self.global_batch_size : (i + 1) * self.global_batch_size
|
|
||||||
]
|
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
input_padding_in = jnp.array(
|
input_padding_in = jnp.array(
|
||||||
input_padding[
|
input_padding[i * self.global_batch_size:(i + 1) *
|
||||||
i * self.global_batch_size : (i + 1) * self.global_batch_size
|
self.global_batch_size],)
|
||||||
],
|
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
inp_freq_in = jnp.array(
|
inp_freq_in = jnp.array(
|
||||||
inp_freq[
|
inp_freq[i * self.global_batch_size:(i + 1) *
|
||||||
i * self.global_batch_size : (i + 1) * self.global_batch_size, :
|
self.global_batch_size, :],
|
||||||
],
|
|
||||||
dtype=jnp.int32,
|
dtype=jnp.int32,
|
||||||
)
|
)
|
||||||
pmapped_inputs = NestedMap({
|
pmapped_inputs = NestedMap({
|
||||||
"input_ts": es.jax_einshape(
|
"input_ts":
|
||||||
|
es.jax_einshape(
|
||||||
"(db)...->db...",
|
"(db)...->db...",
|
||||||
input_ts_in,
|
input_ts_in,
|
||||||
d=self.num_devices,
|
d=self.num_devices,
|
||||||
),
|
),
|
||||||
"input_padding": es.jax_einshape(
|
"input_padding":
|
||||||
|
es.jax_einshape(
|
||||||
"(db)...->db...",
|
"(db)...->db...",
|
||||||
input_padding_in,
|
input_padding_in,
|
||||||
d=self.num_devices,
|
d=self.num_devices,
|
||||||
),
|
),
|
||||||
"date_features": None,
|
"date_features":
|
||||||
"freq": es.jax_einshape(
|
None,
|
||||||
|
"freq":
|
||||||
|
es.jax_einshape(
|
||||||
"(db)...->db...",
|
"(db)...->db...",
|
||||||
inp_freq_in,
|
inp_freq_in,
|
||||||
d=self.num_devices,
|
d=self.num_devices,
|
||||||
),
|
),
|
||||||
})
|
})
|
||||||
mean_output, full_output = self._pmapped_decode(pmapped_inputs)
|
mean_output, full_output = self._pmapped_decode(pmapped_inputs)
|
||||||
mean_output = es.jax_einshape(
|
mean_output = es.jax_einshape("db...->(db)...",
|
||||||
"db...->(db)...", mean_output, d=self.num_devices
|
mean_output,
|
||||||
)
|
d=self.num_devices)
|
||||||
full_output = es.jax_einshape(
|
full_output = es.jax_einshape("db...->(db)...",
|
||||||
"db...->(db)...", full_output, d=self.num_devices
|
full_output,
|
||||||
)
|
d=self.num_devices)
|
||||||
mean_output = np.array(mean_output)
|
mean_output = np.array(mean_output)
|
||||||
full_output = np.array(full_output)
|
full_output = np.array(full_output)
|
||||||
mean_outputs.append(mean_output)
|
mean_outputs.append(mean_output)
|
||||||
@@ -539,14 +527,10 @@ class TimesFm:
|
|||||||
Returns:
|
Returns:
|
||||||
Future forecasts dataframe.
|
Future forecasts dataframe.
|
||||||
"""
|
"""
|
||||||
if not (
|
if not ("unique_id" in inputs.columns and "ds" in inputs.columns and
|
||||||
"unique_id" in inputs.columns
|
value_name in inputs.columns):
|
||||||
and "ds" in inputs.columns
|
|
||||||
and value_name in inputs.columns
|
|
||||||
):
|
|
||||||
raise ValueError(
|
raise ValueError(
|
||||||
f"DataFrame must have unique_id, ds and {value_name} columns."
|
f"DataFrame must have unique_id, ds and {value_name} columns.")
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
if not forecast_context_len:
|
if not forecast_context_len:
|
||||||
forecast_context_len = self.context_len
|
forecast_context_len = self.context_len
|
||||||
logging.info("Preprocessing dataframe.")
|
logging.info("Preprocessing dataframe.")
|
||||||
@@ -571,17 +555,15 @@ class TimesFm:
|
|||||||
with multiprocessing.Pool(processes=num_jobs) as pool:
|
with multiprocessing.Pool(processes=num_jobs) as pool:
|
||||||
results = pool.starmap(
|
results = pool.starmap(
|
||||||
process_group,
|
process_group,
|
||||||
[
|
[(key, group, value_name, forecast_context_len)
|
||||||
(key, group, value_name, forecast_context_len)
|
for key, group in df_sorted.groupby("unique_id")],
|
||||||
for key, group in df_sorted.groupby("unique_id")
|
|
||||||
],
|
|
||||||
)
|
)
|
||||||
new_inputs, uids = zip(*results)
|
new_inputs, uids = zip(*results)
|
||||||
print("Finished preprocessing dataframe.")
|
print("Finished preprocessing dataframe.")
|
||||||
freq_inps = [freq_map(freq)] * len(new_inputs)
|
freq_inps = [freq_map(freq)] * len(new_inputs)
|
||||||
_, full_forecast = self.forecast(
|
_, full_forecast = self.forecast(new_inputs,
|
||||||
new_inputs, freq=freq_inps, window_size=window_size
|
freq=freq_inps,
|
||||||
)
|
window_size=window_size)
|
||||||
print("Finished forecasting.")
|
print("Finished forecasting.")
|
||||||
fcst_df = make_future_dataframe(
|
fcst_df = make_future_dataframe(
|
||||||
uids=uids,
|
uids=uids,
|
||||||
@@ -589,16 +571,13 @@ class TimesFm:
|
|||||||
h=self.horizon_len,
|
h=self.horizon_len,
|
||||||
freq=freq,
|
freq=freq,
|
||||||
)
|
)
|
||||||
fcst_df[model_name] = full_forecast[:, 0 : self.horizon_len, 0].reshape(
|
fcst_df[model_name] = full_forecast[:, 0:self.horizon_len, 0].reshape(-1, 1)
|
||||||
-1, 1
|
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
if self._model.quantiles is not None:
|
if self._model.quantiles is not None:
|
||||||
for i, q in enumerate(self._model.quantiles):
|
for i, q in enumerate(self._model.quantiles):
|
||||||
q_col = f"{model_name}-q-{q}"
|
q_col = f"{model_name}-q-{q}"
|
||||||
fcst_df[q_col] = full_forecast[:, 0 : self.horizon_len, 1 + i].reshape(
|
fcst_df[q_col] = full_forecast[:, 0:self.horizon_len,
|
||||||
-1, 1
|
1 + i].reshape(-1, 1)
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
if q == 0.5:
|
if q == 0.5:
|
||||||
fcst_df[model_name] = fcst_df[q_col]
|
fcst_df[model_name] = fcst_df[q_col]
|
||||||
logging.info("Finished creating output dataframe.")
|
logging.info("Finished creating output dataframe.")
|
||||||
|
|||||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user